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Some links

  1. 虛擬貨幣介紹 (link)
  2. Huya (link)
    • EV = 2.2 B USD
    • 3 year avg. FCF = 0.2 B USD
    • FCF/EV = 8.9%
    • estimated bottom line growth rate in the near term: 10~15% (guts feeling only)
    • pro
      • Tencent is the major share holder (51% share and 70% voting right)
      • Plan to merge with 斗魚
        • also cash-rich
        • positive earnings and cash flow
      • Tencent also invested in Huya's direct competitors such as BiliBili and Kuaishou
    • risks
      • Competitive online video streaming business would burn lots of cash
      • Anti-trust
        • 感覺近期政治/商業氛圍不是很好, 破局的可能性不小
        • 1 Huya share to 0.73 斗魚 share. Current prices seem to suggest that the merge proposal will not come true.
    • thoughts
      • if merge is approved, it would be better to buy Douyu
      • using current price 16.x and 8, one could short sell Huya and buy Douyu to lock profit.
      • if merge failed, both stocks would plummet to a record low.
      • Let's wait and see. It should come to an end soon.
    • (合併破局 2021.7.11)
  3. Proof of history. What an interesting idea! (link)
  4. Long on Lululemon (link)
    • China market
    • Mirror
    • other opportunities: self-care, shoes...etc
  5. Anti-trust bills (link) (link)

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